The January transfer window is always a nail-biting time for football fans, but for Spurs supporters, it’s even more so this year. With the squad in a rebuild and strict squad regulations in both the Premier League and European competitions, the club has to tread carefully. Will Ange Postecoglou be able to bring in the reinforcements he needs while navigating the complexities of homegrown player rules? Let’s delve into the numbers and see what our options are.
Decoding the Squad Rules
Both the Premier League and European competitions have specific rules dictating squad composition, and these limitations directly impact our transfer strategy. Let’s break them down:
European Squad Rules:
● Non-Homegrown Players: A maximum of 17 non-homegrown players are permitted in the squad.
● Homegrown Players: 8 spots are reserved for locally trained players, divided into:
○ Club-trained: 4 players who have been with the club for three seasons before their 21st birthday (or the end of the season during which they turn 21).
○ Association-trained: 4 players who have been registered with any club affiliated with The Football Association or the Football Association of Wales for three seasons before turning 21 (or the end of the season during which they turn 21).
● Under-21 Players: Unlimited under-21 players are allowed, but they must have been at the club for two years to be eligible.
Premier League Squad Rules:
● Non-Homegrown Players: The Premier League allows 17 non-homegrown players in a 25-man squad.
● Homegrown Players: 8 spots are allocated for homegrown players, with the same definition as association trained players in European competitions.
● Under-21 Players: The number of under-21 players is unrestricted.
This season, for the Premier League and European competitions, under-21 players will have been born on or after 1 January 2003.
Tottenham’s Current Squad: A Numbers Game
European Squad
Analysing Tottenham’s current European squad reveals a tight situation. Even with possible departures like Timo Werner, Fraser Forster or Richarlison the room for new signings is limited.
The homegrown player allocation for Europe poses a further challenge. Tottenham currently has two more association-trained players than permitted, which means both will be classified as non-homegrown. Consequently, we are already over our squad size restriction and were unable to register Djed Spence and Sergio Reguilon in the first half of the season.
The injury to Destiny Udogie means that we will probably want to register Djed Spence for the second half of the season. Yang Min-hyeok joined the club officially in January, if we wanted to register him, he would count as a non-homegrown player, despite being 18, because he hasn’t been at the club for the 2 years needed to be counted as an under-21 player (B List).
We are allowed to make a maximum of 3 changes to our European squad between the league and knockout phases of the competition.
At Ange’s press conference ahead of the Newcastle game, he gave the following expected return dates for the injured players; Richarlison and Mikey Moore – early January, Cristian Romero, Micky van de Ven and Ben Davies late January, Guglielmo Vicario late February.
We are at a 1 in, 1 out situation with our European squad. If Djed Spence is being added, we need to unregister someone to create the space and that leaves us with space for 2 further changes. Who do we drop to make space?
Premier League Squad
In the Premier League things are a tad easier with 3 free squad spaces, but would new players be willing to join us and only be included in the squad for domestic competitions?
In the Premier League Yang Min-hyeok qualifies as an under-21 player, so won’t need to take up a senior squad space.
Addressing the Needs, Navigating the Constraints
We have several areas requiring reinforcements: a goalkeeper, left-sided centreback, leftback cover, a defensive midfielder, a right-winger, and potentially a striker. However, the limited squad space necessitates a strategic and measured approach in the transfer market.
Looking Ahead: A Balancing Act
The January transfer window presents us with a challenge: balancing the need for immediate reinforcements with the long-term vision of squad building. Each signing must be carefully considered, taking into account both the immediate needs of the team and the limitations imposed by squad regulations. The current window will be less about a shopping spree and more about a calculated and precise approach to squad management.
Not for the first time Spurs find themselves at a crossroads. There is currently (27th Dec) no suggestion that the real decision makers are sharpening the axe but there is a chasm growing between those supporters who love the Ange project and will happily provide the mitigation to explain the recent run of results and those who see the current situation as totally unacceptable and want the Australian relieved of his duties immediately.
As Spurs fans we’re well attuned to this process. Since 1984 Spurs have appointed 19 permanent managers – Peter Shreeve, David Pleat, Terry Venables, Ossie Ardiles, Gerry Francis, Christian Gross, George Graham, Glenn Hoddle, Jacques Santini, Martin Jol, Juande Ramos, Harry Redknapp, AVB, Tim Sherwood, Mauricio Pochettino, Jose Mourinho, Nuno Espirito Santo, Antonio Conte and Ange. That’s roughly one every two years.
It’s not specific to Spurs by any means but the patterns are invariably the same. A string of bad results, crowd become restless, a sense of inevitability and a growing crescendo in the media usually followed by reports of player unrest, speculation about potential successors and then the ominous ‘Club Statement’ headline (or its pre-internet equivalent via a trusted media outlet).
Perhaps the toughest decision for any chairman (or whoever makes the decision) is whether to stick or twist once a manager appears to be in a tailspin. While Spurs have been through a lot of managers I feel that on the whole Daniel Levy has correctly sacked most managers at the right moment recognising that the tailspin each was in was irrecoverable.
It’s perfectly reasonable to find yourselves on either side of the debate but as a Spurs historian (very much with a small ‘h’) who has researched and written about every individual season, cycle and manager since 1980 I hope I can provide some historical context about what might happen next by providing two examples of managers who found themselves in a tailspin but survived…for a short period.
It’s important to highlight the sizeable differences in the way that we as supporters consume the game and share news and opinions. Social Media amplifies extreme views, meme culture ramps up anxiety and we seem to live in a more binary world with less room for nuance. Technology has furthered demands for instant fixes – amazon will deliver your parcel within 24 hours, your dinner can be with you in an instant. We’re not geared to be patient. It’s the way of the world. It wasn’t always.
It’s Autumn 1988. Terry Venables is approaching his 12-month anniversary since Irving Scholar persuaded him to return to White Hart Lane. Venables didn’t realise the magnitude of the rebuild required. Hoddle and Gough had left; Clemence and Ardiles were rapidly approaching retirement and Hodge and Clive Allen had contracts expiring at the end of the season. Under his predecessor, David Pleat, Spurs had let Roberts, Miller, Falco and Galvin leave the club. Even the undercard made up of promising young players had been sold – mostly to Norwich. Spurs were a mid-table team on the slide and lacking inspiration.
There was little new manager bounce – Spurs lost 11 of the 25 games in the remainder of the season which included a humiliating defeat at Port Vale in the FA Cup. Venables introduction of an aggressive and ultra-high defensive line was disastrous. They finished the season in 13th with new signings Mimms, Fenwick and Walsh having little impact despite their relatively high transfer fees.
By summer Venables ripped up his plans and instead played with a sweeper. There were subtle tweaks too – Venables wanted his defenders to show attackers in-field rather than out wide – as was customary.
Despite a huge investment over the summer – Spurs signed Gascoigne and Stewart – results didn’t improve. By the end of October Spurs were bottom of Division One having taken just seven points from ten games.
Irving Scholar reported finding Venables crying his eyes out in the toilets in the old West stand claiming that the fans had never taken to him as a player now they were turning against him as a manager.
Having made such a beeline for Venables there was little chance of Scholar now sacking him. Results improved – unbeaten in nine going into 1989 but the frailties were still there – dumped out of the FA Cup by Bradford and then new goalkeeper, Erik Thorstvedt (bought to replace Mimms who was clearly a dud) fumbled a Nigel Clough shot into his own goal on debut.
Spurs did rally though – Gascoigne hit form and his partnership with Waddle prospered. They finished the season in a respectable sixth place and this provided a foundation to build from. The following season, largely through the brilliance of Gascoigne and Lineker Spurs finished third and in 90/91 won the FA Cup when the competition was still revered. It had paid to back Venables. He may not have survived in an era of 24-hour rolling sports news and social media?
Fast forward six years. Gerry Francis replaced Ossie Ardiles to add a pragmatism to a squad front-loaded with attacking flair that simply couldn’t defend. Francis proved to be a ‘nearly man’ – his morose demeanour perhaps prophesised the bad luck he endured. At the end of his first season Klinsmann, Barmby and Popescu were all reluctantly sold and replaced by good but not great players. Despite this Spurs spent much of 95/96 in the top six only narrowly missing out on UEFA Cup qualification and knocked out of the FA Cup on penalties by Nottingham Forest in a fifth-round tie epic.
96/97 was a huge disappointment. English football was moving in but Spurs weren’t. Anderton and Armstrong missed most of the season through injury. Mabbutt broke his leg on the opening day of the season and Spurs’ season quickly unravelled by the turn of the year. Spurs were humiliated 6-1 at Bolton in the League Cup and were beaten 7-1 at Newcastle to end 1996. Newcastle manager Kevin Keegan was so haunted by the look on Francis’ face at the final whistle that he resigned within three weeks citing the incredible pressure placed on football managers. Spurs were in a tailspin – perhaps it was time to replace the increasingly haggard looking Spurs manager?
The FA Cup campaign lasted just one game. A freak set of injuries deprived Francis of his three senior centre forwards. Two teenagers, Rory Allen and Neale Fenn started in a 2-0 defeat at Old Trafford. Talisman Teddy Sheringham had clearly had enough too and he was allowed to leave in the summer.
Francis cut a dejected figure throughout most of 1997; there would have been more calls for him to go were it not for anger directed towards Alan Sugar. Francis did experiment with different systems – a back three was possible after the signings of Scales and Vega – but the former was injured two games after making his debut and the latter immediately looked well out of depth despite a £3.75m January transfer.
Relegation was never really a threat but Spurs won just three games in eleven between January and April meaning there were closer to the bottom three than the top six. Despite all the mitigation it was a thoroughly uninspiring time to watch Spurs. It didn’t take a soothsayer to recognise that this was a team going nowhere fast. Francis himself had had enough. He offered his resignation five games into the 97/98 season but Sugar convinced him to stay. A proud man, Francis looked broken, the team went through the motions until Francis did resign in November with Spurs now in the bottom three.
1997 was a miserable year. Spurs won eight of 32 league games, losing 17. It was relegation form. For all his faults, Sugar was always patient with his managers. Maybe too patient? Francis always spoke highly of the support he was given from his chairman. However, the signs were there for all to see and the tailspin induced at the end of 1996 never recovered.
How does this play out for Ange? You may well recognise some similarities with both Venables and Francis. I’d argue in the case of Venables it was absolutely right to stand by him through a turbulent time. Under Francis, there was lots of mitigation for the underwhelming performance but he should have been allowed to leave six months before he did.
The other great example of remaining patient to a manager was Keith Burkinshaw who took Spurs down to Division Two in 1977. Could that feasibly happen today? Even Bill Nicholson endured a difficult first season. I appreciate these are real outliers for a number of reasons.
My fellow podcaster Milo introduced to me the concept of an untestable hypothesis – we’ll never know what might have happened had Venables been sacked when Spurs were bottom. The next manager might have taken them down or perhaps with Gascoigne and then Lineker it was inevitable that better times were around the corner?
Likewise, were Francis to have left in early 1997 which different candidates might have been available? Could there have been a rally and Sheringham convinced to stay…or was the manager irrelevant with Sugar’s running of the club?
In both cases we’ll never know. Just as we’ll never know if Angeball will be sustainable with a fully fit and deeper squad if he was sacked. Equally if we stick with him and the team continue to underwhelm would a more ‘pragmatic’ coach have been able to achieve something this season?
To find out more about Spurs in the 1990s order my book Is Gascoigne Going To have a Crack? here (or via amazon) 90sspursbook.square.site. My second book, Hot Shot Tottenham -Spurs in the 80s will be out in Autumn 2025.
Follow me on X @garethdace or Bluesky @80s90sspursbooks.bsky.social
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